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AKRITAS S.A.

Estimated from 2025 ETS emissions and sector assumptions, not a site assessment

Plant profile

Sector
Paper
Location
Tychero, Greece
Plant size
Mid-sized
Heat below 200 °C
1,074–2,401 MWh/yr
Process temp (assumed)
110 °C
Est. COP
2.50
ETS emissions 2025
638 tCO₂
ETS installation ID
217180
Savings basis
midpoint 1,700 MWh/yr
Price gap now3.27
EU investment threshold
3.27 > 2.00
Is it financeable? (European Commission)
Not yet: savings too thin to finance the equipment.
For reference, this plant's running-cost parity is 2.78 (COP 2.5 ÷ boiler efficiency 0.9) — below it the heat pump is cheaper to run than gas. Statuses use the EU threshold of 2.0.
Map status: Doesn't pay off (EU threshold 2.0)

Price-shock stress test

Annual savings vs gas boiler · current policy

Electricity price0%
Gas price0%
157 tCO₂/yr avoided
Annual savings
−€16,401
Baseline −€16,401
Savings = heat × gas ÷ 0.9 − heat ÷ COP × electricity. Gas 49 €/MWh, electricity = gas × ratio.

CO₂ impact

Net avoided emissions vs the gas boiler · reacts to scenario, price levers and grid carbon

CO₂ locked
157 t/yr
Ratio 3.27 is above the EU investment threshold of 2.0. Pick a stronger scenario or move the price levers to unlock it.
Gas boiler emissions381 t/yr
Heat pump electricity emissions−224 t/yr
Net avoided157 t/yr
Over 15-year contract2.4 kt
Grid carbon intensity330 g/kWh

Default 330 g/kWh is the GR grid average (EEA, greenhouse gas emission intensity of electricity generation (2023)). Gas: 0.20196 t/MWh (IPCC 2006), boiler efficiency 90%.

Projected ratio · 15-year contract

Green line: EU investment threshold 2.0 · active scenario highlighted (1/4)

Spark-gap monitor

Greece · today's electricity-to-gas ratio, Eurostat-based

Mid-sized plants
3.27
+1.27 gap to 2
Range, last 6 semesters (Eurostat): 3.21–3.86
Large plants
3.36
+1.36 gap to 2
Range, last 6 semesters (Eurostat): 3.12–3.87
What makes up the electricity price (mid-sized)
Volatility, last 6 semesters — same ratio, different risk

Policy forward curve

AI-extracted from national plans, laws and regulator decisions · illustrative policy items

  • No national policy items mapped for Greece yet. Scenarios apply a generic 5 / 10 / 15% ratio reduction.
Projected ratio by scenario (mid-sized) — same levels as the map toggle